From June 8 to 9, 2023, the China Council for the Promotion of International Trade Automotive Industry Committee and the Organizing Committee of Chongqing International Automobile Exhibition co-sponsored the “2023 China Automobile Chongqing Forum”. At the forum, Qi Hongzhong, assistant president of GAC Research Institute and deputy director of Powertrain Technology Research and Development Center, delivered a speech. His report is divided into three parts: first, a simple analysis of the current policy and industry status quo; The second is to focus on demand analysis; The third is to do some thinking about the future development of hybrid.
Policy and industry status
At the policy level, they all point to three points: first, energy conservation and emission reduction, second, taking into account national security considerations, and third, we must achieve the dual carbon goal. In order to achieve these goals, there are many technical routes. However, power technology, as one of the most easily realized technologies in the automobile industry, is one of the important paths to achieve energy saving and emission reduction and achieve the goal of double carbon. From the market point of view, now China, including the Asia-Pacific region, has become the largest part of the entire world market, followed by Europe and the United States, so the changes in the pattern of the entire Chinese market and the rapid development of the Southeast Asian market have a very great impact on the world’s automobile pattern.
Market demand analysis
Demand is divided into three parts: the first is the basic demand, which involves security, including cost and quality. The second is high-level demand. With the improvement of people’s living standards and cultural level, the demand for environmental protection, sustainable development and so on will increase, which is called high-level demand. The third is the use of demand. This is the most critical, the use of drastic changes in demand, change very fast, including shape, energy consumption, power, space, battery life and so on. In order to maintain a high-end product level in the future, we must meet the differentiated needs, while taking into account the advantages of the original traditional brand, so as to form a long-term appeal to customers and create a high-end brand.
Thinking about future development
Let’s think about what the future holds in terms of technical fundamentals and customer needs. First of all, there are several thoughts about the future of the car: First, the car will be intelligent. The future of the automobile is a key node of social development and mobility, and it must adapt to various requirements, so it must be an intelligent product. Second is the energy mix. In the future, to a certain extent, the energy structure, electricity is renewable electricity, green electricity, hydrogen in order to store electricity or decoration generated by green electricity called green hydrogen, which is its main composition. Electricity can be used in pure electric vehicles and hydrogen can be used in fuel cell vehicles.
We can see that the progress of intelligent vehicles is very fast, the national energy structure is changing very fast, policy changes are also very fast, how to make up for this huge space, the various technical routes need to work hard. We believe that hybridisation is not a short-term transitional solution, and according to future solutions, we judge that it will be a relatively medium and long-term technical route.
Post time: Jun-27-2023
